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Red215
490973.1
854428.3
568776.8
Blue187
16655.0
332321.0
83956.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199141100150250215187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
27Coral scored#27
98Coral points98
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
140Total teleop138
Reef
13L4#14
12L3#7
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
215Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.6
76.477.0
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 20.2
839
#3
56.51.0
56.057.0
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Second
73.10.6
72.873.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 18.2
166
#4
55.01.0
54.455.4
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
8544
#18
28.30.6
27.928.5
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
red by 7.2
3323
#25
21.01.0
20.521.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0