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Red167
490973.1
854428.3
568776.8
Blue119
16655.0
332321.0
83956.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201143100250167119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +43
24Coral scored#9
85Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
109Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#4
10L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points6
167Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.3
77.076.8
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 20.2
839
#3
56.50.5
57.056.5
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Second
73.10.3
73.473.1
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 18.2
166
#4
55.00.5
55.455.0
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
8544
#18
28.30.3
28.528.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
red by 7.2
3323
#25
21.00.5
21.521.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0