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Qual 112025 NE District UVM Event
Red61
15740.9
549422.7
151220.2
Blue125
84217.4
107345.5
568776.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54123010015020061125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+56
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
39Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
61Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#12
40.90.3
32.2→31.9
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
blue by 35.9
5687
#1
76.80.8
61.9→62.7
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
Second
5494
#30
22.70.3
13.1→12.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 22.8
1073
#7
45.50.8
33.3→34.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
Third
1512
#22
20.20.3
12.2→11.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
red by 12.9
8421
#32
7.40.8
8.9→9.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned