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Red151
1006626.0
9557.4
83956.5
Blue61
105843.8
172947.7
669118.2
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251105010015020015161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
90Total teleop35
Reef
11L4#4
4L3#2
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
151Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#8
57.42.9
47.850.7
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
red by 9.7
1729
#13
47.72.4
44.642.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
Second
839
#3
56.52.9
38.241.1
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
red by 12.7
43.82.4
33.931.5
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
Third
26.02.9
21.424.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
red by 7.9
6691
#24
18.22.4
19.016.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned