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Red66
252326.7
791321.7
6931.8
Blue52
226225.6
1013822.1
854428.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747650607080901006652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
48Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points0
66Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#6
31.80.9
28.327.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
red by 3.5
8544
#18
28.31.4
21.820.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
Second
2523
#19
26.70.9
22.221.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
red by 1.1
2262
#29
25.61.4
23.522.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End2.9
Third
7913
#31
21.70.9
16.515.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 0.5
22.12.4
22.119.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed