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Red90
237058.7
81124.2
23739.0
Blue115
669118.2
490973.1
15740.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381389011012013014090115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#9
53Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
77Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
90Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
58.72.0
59.157.1
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
blue by 14.4
73.10.4
71.971.5
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
Second
237
#14
39.02.0
38.036.0
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
blue by 1.9
157
#12
40.90.4
31.931.5
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
Third
811
#28
24.22.0
22.720.7
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
red by 6.0
6691
#24
18.20.4
16.616.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned