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Qual 172025 NE District UVM Event
Red91
172947.7
1010821.2
6931.8
Blue144
568776.8
1006626.0
549422.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911705015020091144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+59
Endgame+59
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#23
37Coral points83
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
63Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#14
3L3#4
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
6Foul points0
91Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#13
47.70.2
41.9→41.6
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
blue by 29.1
5687
#1
76.82.8
62.7→65.5
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
Second
69
#6
31.80.2
30.3→30.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
red by 5.7
10066
#17
26.02.8
24.0→26.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Third
10108
#27
21.20.2
13.9→13.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
blue by 1.5
5494
#30
22.72.8
12.8→15.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed