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Red202
490973.1
431134.2
693341.5
Blue135
252326.7
81124.2
16655.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16510350150200250202135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+53Teleop
+73Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#22
74Coral points79
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#3
24Processor points18
40Net points12
64Algae points30
138Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points6
202Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.12.8
71.574.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 18.2
166
#4
55.00.9
46.847.7
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
41.52.8
27.930.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
red by 14.8
2523
#19
26.70.9
21.122.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
Third
4311
#16
34.22.8
31.133.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
red by 10.0
811
#28
24.20.9
20.721.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned