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Qual 202025 NE District UVM Event
Red59
669118.2
854428.3
151220.2
Blue127
15740.9
83956.5
242344.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49136010015020059127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
44Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
59Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8544
#18
28.30.5
23.0→23.5
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
blue by 28.3
839
#3
56.51.2
42.7→43.8
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Second
1512
#22
20.20.5
11.9→12.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
blue by 24.3
2423
#10
44.51.2
35.3→36.4
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
Third
6691
#24
18.20.5
16.2→16.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 22.7
157
#12
40.91.2
31.5→32.7
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned