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Red164
457224.4
568776.8
172947.7
Blue72
237058.7
1010821.2
84217.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145855010020016472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+92Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
106Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#4
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
164Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.82.7
65.568.2
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 18.1
2370
#11
58.70.5
57.156.6
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
1729
#13
47.72.7
41.644.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
red by 26.5
21.20.5
13.613.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Third
4572
#15
24.42.7
15.918.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 17.1
8421
#32
7.40.5
8.78.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned