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Red136
549422.7
6931.8
105843.8
Blue117
431134.2
15740.9
252326.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92111406080100120140160136117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
18Processor points18
32Net points28
50Algae points46
101Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
136Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.82.4
30.432.8
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
red by 2.9
157
#12
40.90.1
32.732.6
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
Second
69
#6
31.82.4
30.132.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
blue by 2.5
4311
#16
34.20.1
33.933.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
Third
5494
#30
22.72.4
15.618.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 4.0
2523
#19
26.70.1
22.021.9
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned