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Qual 282025 NE District UVM Event
Red124
854428.3
16655.0
15740.9
Blue126
23739.0
9557.4
669118.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112390100110130140150160124126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
99Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#5
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
124Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
55.00.9
49.8→50.7
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
blue by 2.5
95
#8
57.40.8
56.9→57.7
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
157
#12
40.90.9
32.6→33.5
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
red by 1.9
237
#14
39.00.8
34.7→35.5
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
Third
8544
#18
28.30.9
23.3→24.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
red by 10.1
6691
#24
18.20.8
16.9→17.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned