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Red144
693341.5
252326.7
172947.7
Blue43
81124.2
151220.2
332321.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197105010015020014443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+79Teleop
+89Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +65
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
95Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
12Foul points0
144Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#13
47.72.3
44.346.7
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
red by 23.5
811
#28
24.21.5
21.820.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
Second
41.52.3
30.833.1
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
red by 20.5
3323
#25
21.01.5
29.528.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
Third
2523
#19
26.72.3
21.924.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
red by 6.5
1512
#22
20.21.5
14.312.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed