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Red192
34825.4
568776.8
431134.2
Blue128
84217.4
242344.5
490973.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154146100120140160180200220192128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+66Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +53
29Coral scored#21
105Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
145Total teleop92
Reef
18L4#8
8L3#9
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
192Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.82.4
68.270.7
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 3.6
73.11.3
74.873.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
Second
4311
#16
34.22.4
33.836.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
blue by 10.3
2423
#10
44.51.3
38.337.0
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
Third
348
#26
25.42.4
23.926.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 18.1
8421
#32
7.41.3
8.26.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned