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Red160
1013822.1
83956.5
237058.7
Blue148
107345.5
23739.0
910138.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510380140160180160148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
20Coral scored#23
72Coral points83
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
110Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
160Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
58.72.6
56.859.4
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
red by 13.2
45.52.5
30.833.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
Second
839
#3
56.52.6
35.738.2
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
red by 17.6
237
#14
39.02.5
34.937.4
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
Third
22.10.1
22.122.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
blue by 16.8
9101
#20
38.92.8
31.934.7
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned