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Red210
16655.0
490973.1
568776.8
Blue74
105843.8
854428.3
1006626.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2067505010015025030021074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+128Teleop
+126Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +107
32Coral scored#10
116Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
154Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#5
10L3#3
12L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
45Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
12Foul points2
210Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.7
65.065.6
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 32.9
43.81.1
35.033.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
Second
73.10.7
69.269.9
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 44.9
8544
#18
28.31.2
23.021.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
Third
166
#4
55.00.7
44.945.6
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 28.9
26.01.1
22.521.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned