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Red113
9557.4
457224.4
84217.4
Blue131
242344.5
6931.8
332321.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66920204080100120140113131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
64Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
113Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#8
57.42.4
45.347.8
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
red by 12.9
2423
#10
44.52.5
33.836.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
Second
4572
#15
24.42.4
10.713.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
blue by 7.3
69
#6
31.82.5
25.828.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
Third
8421
#32
7.42.4
6.58.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 13.7
3323
#25
21.02.5
20.022.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned