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Red113
252326.7
23739.0
1010821.2
Blue143
431134.2
172947.7
81124.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7911250100150200113143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
15Coral scored#21
55Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
93Total teleop113
Reef
3L4#7
6L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
113Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#14
39.00.6
37.438.0
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
blue by 8.7
1729
#13
47.70.9
43.744.6
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
Second
2523
#19
26.70.6
21.622.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
blue by 7.5
4311
#16
34.20.9
27.528.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
Third
21.20.6
11.712.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
blue by 3.0
811
#28
24.20.9
21.722.7
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned