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Red121
693341.5
34825.4
16655.0
Blue115
549422.7
237058.7
910138.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121406080140160180200121115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points70
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
94Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
121Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
55.01.2
45.646.8
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
blue by 3.8
2370
#11
58.70.2
59.459.1
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
41.51.2
23.624.9
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
red by 2.6
9101
#20
38.90.2
34.734.4
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
Third
348
#26
25.41.2
22.023.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 2.7
5494
#30
22.70.2
13.413.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned