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Red132
83956.5
84217.4
252326.7
Blue149
1010821.2
854428.3
490973.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8313350100150200132149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points33
16Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
100Total teleop100
Reef
13L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
132Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#3
56.52.9
46.048.9
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
blue by 16.6
73.11.7
73.475.1
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
Second
2523
#19
26.72.9
24.327.1
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
blue by 1.5
8544
#18
28.31.7
24.125.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
Third
8421
#32
7.42.9
6.99.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 13.8
21.21.7
12.714.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned