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Red104
107345.5
6931.8
669118.2
Blue100
172947.7
242344.5
549422.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011196080140160180200104100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
65Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
104Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.8
41.242.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
blue by 2.2
1729
#13
47.70.2
46.746.4
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
Second
69
#6
31.80.8
31.532.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
blue by 12.8
2423
#10
44.50.2
37.036.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
Third
6691
#24
18.20.8
17.718.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 4.5
5494
#30
22.70.2
19.819.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed