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Qual 382025 NE District UVM Event
Red112
910138.9
151220.2
431134.2
Blue132
83956.5
490973.1
791321.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10218050150200250112132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
86Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
112Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#20
38.90.2
37.6→37.4
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
blue by 34.2
4909
#2
73.12.1
75.1→73.0
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
Second
4311
#16
34.20.2
36.8→36.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
blue by 22.3
839
#3
56.52.1
48.9→46.8
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Third
1512
#22
20.20.2
14.3→14.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
blue by 1.4
7913
#31
21.72.1
15.6→13.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned