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Red115
669118.2
237058.7
252326.7
Blue64
457224.4
34825.4
1010821.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226505010015020011564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
60Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
18Foul points2
115Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
58.70.4
57.357.0
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
red by 33.3
348
#26
25.40.0
27.727.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Second
2523
#19
26.70.4
27.126.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
red by 2.3
4572
#15
24.40.0
19.919.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
6691
#24
18.20.4
18.418.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 3.0
21.20.0
14.314.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed