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Red74
1006626.0
81124.2
84217.4
Blue117
854428.3
909622.3
693341.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629105010015074117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +34
11Coral scored#22
40Coral points78
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#10
2L3#9
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points4
74Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.1
25.926.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
blue by 15.5
41.51.6
33.434.9
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
Second
811
#28
24.20.1
22.322.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
blue by 4.1
8544
#18
28.31.6
25.827.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
Third
8421
#32
7.40.1
9.79.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 15.0
9096
#21
22.31.6
16.317.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed