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Red117
910138.9
16655.0
909622.3
Blue191
6931.8
568776.8
83956.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11416950100150200250117191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+76
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave3
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +41
16Coral scored#24
58Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
86Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#9
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
23Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
6Foul points6
117Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
55.00.6
51.250.6
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
blue by 21.8
76.81.6
67.869.4
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
Second
9101
#20
38.90.6
37.436.8
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
blue by 17.6
839
#3
56.51.6
46.848.4
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Third
9096
#21
22.30.6
17.917.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
blue by 9.4
69
#6
31.81.6
32.333.9
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned