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Red95
854428.3
84217.4
172947.7
Blue86
34825.4
107345.5
81124.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921054060801201401609586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+17Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points29
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
73Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
95Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#13
47.70.9
44.145.0
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
red by 2.2
45.50.2
39.639.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
Second
8544
#18
28.30.9
27.428.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
red by 2.8
348
#26
25.40.2
27.727.5
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Third
8421
#32
7.40.9
9.810.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 16.8
811
#28
24.20.2
22.422.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned