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Red140
332321.0
15740.9
105843.8
Blue113
1013822.1
431134.2
457224.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130108050150200250140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points45
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
24Processor points24
28Net points24
52Algae points48
111Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
140Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.2
37.238.4
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
red by 9.6
4311
#16
34.20.3
36.636.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
Second
157
#12
40.91.2
35.937.0
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
red by 16.5
4572
#15
24.40.3
19.920.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
3323
#25
21.01.2
24.926.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
blue by 1.1
22.10.4
26.226.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed