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Red107
226225.6
669118.2
16655.0
Blue85
242344.5
1006626.0
252326.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510570809010011012013014010785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
84Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
107Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
55.00.5
50.651.1
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 10.4
2423
#10
44.50.6
38.738.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
Second
2262
#29
25.60.5
28.028.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End2.9
blue by 1.1
2523
#19
26.70.6
26.726.1
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
Third
6691
#24
18.20.5
18.018.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 7.9
26.00.6
26.125.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed