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Qual 472025 NE District UVM Event
Red150
490973.1
910138.9
6931.8
Blue95
693341.5
1010821.2
549422.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1736705010015020025015095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
104Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#5
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
150Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#2
73.10.2
73.0→72.8
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 31.6
6933
#5
41.51.4
34.9→36.3
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
Second
9101
#20
38.90.2
36.8→36.7
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
red by 16.3
5494
#30
22.71.4
19.3→20.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
69
#6
31.80.2
33.9→33.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
red by 10.6
10108
#27
21.21.4
14.3→15.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed