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Red142
237058.7
9557.4
791321.7
Blue157
568776.8
151220.2
23739.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137139100110120130150160170180142157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
20Coral scored#23
73Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
99Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#8
11L3#7
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points12
142Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
58.70.8
57.057.7
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
blue by 18.1
76.81.0
69.470.4
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
Second
95
#8
57.40.8
52.553.3
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
red by 18.4
237
#14
39.01.0
37.938.9
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
Third
7913
#31
21.70.8
13.314.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
red by 1.4
1512
#22
20.21.0
14.115.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned