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Red130
15740.9
172947.7
1013822.1
Blue76
909622.3
669118.2
457224.4
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13054010015020013076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
90Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
130Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#13
47.71.3
45.046.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
red by 23.3
4572
#15
24.41.0
20.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
157
#12
40.91.3
37.038.3
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
red by 18.6
9096
#21
22.31.0
17.218.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Third
22.11.7
26.628.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
red by 4.0
6691
#24
18.21.0
18.619.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed