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Red106
81124.2
105843.8
1010821.2
Blue91
16655.0
84217.4
6931.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831155010015010691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
72Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#4
7L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points0
106Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.3
38.439.7
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
blue by 11.1
166
#4
55.00.9
51.150.2
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
811
#28
24.21.3
22.223.5
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
blue by 7.6
69
#6
31.80.9
33.732.8
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
Third
21.21.3
15.717.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 13.8
8421
#32
7.40.9
10.89.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned