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Red131
242344.5
791321.7
107345.5
Blue162
910138.9
693341.5
568776.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9916450150200250131162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#22
60Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
84Total teleop111
Reef
8L4#13
8L3#6
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
131Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.52.6
39.342.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
blue by 31.3
76.81.2
70.471.6
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
Second
2423
#10
44.52.6
38.140.7
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
red by 3.0
41.51.2
36.337.5
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
Third
7913
#31
21.72.6
14.016.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 17.3
9101
#20
38.91.2
36.737.9
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned