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Qual 532025 NE District UVM Event
Red129
83956.5
549422.7
854428.3
Blue121
431134.2
332321.0
237058.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231566080100140180200220129121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +11
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
78Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
12Foul points0
129Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#3
56.50.3
48.4→48.6
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
blue by 2.2
2370
#11
58.71.2
57.7→56.5
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
8544
#18
28.30.3
28.3→28.6
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
blue by 6.0
4311
#16
34.21.2
36.9→35.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
Third
5494
#30
22.70.3
20.7→20.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 1.6
3323
#25
21.01.2
26.1→24.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed