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Qual 542025 NE District UVM Event
Red96
1006626.0
909622.3
15740.9
Blue114
151220.2
107345.5
1010821.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938005015020096114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
73Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
96Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#12
40.90.9
38.3→39.2
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
blue by 4.6
1073
#7
45.52.7
42.0→44.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
Second
10066
#17
26.00.9
25.4→26.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
red by 4.8
10108
#27
21.22.7
17.0→19.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Third
9096
#21
22.30.9
18.2→19.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
red by 2.1
1512
#22
20.22.7
15.0→17.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned