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Red147
172947.7
226225.6
490973.1
Blue153
105843.8
693341.5
237058.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159142100200250147153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#25
59Coral points89
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
99Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#14
5L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
147Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.10.4
72.772.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 14.4
2370
#11
58.70.9
56.557.4
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
1729
#13
47.70.4
46.245.8
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
red by 3.9
43.80.9
39.740.6
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
Third
2262
#29
25.60.4
28.628.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End2.9
blue by 15.9
41.50.9
37.538.4
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned