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Red26
332321.0
1013822.1
34825.4
Blue76
6931.8
151220.2
1006626.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97904060801201401602676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
12Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
26Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#26
25.43.6
27.423.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
blue by 6.4
69
#6
31.80.5
32.832.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
Second
22.14.4
28.323.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
blue by 3.9
26.00.5
26.425.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Third
3323
#25
21.03.6
24.921.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 0.8
1512
#22
20.20.5
17.717.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed