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Qual 602025 NE District UVM Event
Red153
1006626.0
490973.1
107345.5
Blue85
6931.8
15740.9
34825.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166995015020025015385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points13
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
82Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#4
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
8Foul points0
153Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#2
73.10.1
72.4→72.5
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 32.2
157
#12
40.90.7
39.2→38.5
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
Second
1073
#7
45.50.1
44.6→44.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
red by 13.7
69
#6
31.80.7
32.4→31.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
Third
10066
#17
26.00.1
25.9→26.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End0.7
red by 0.6
348
#26
25.40.7
23.7→23.1
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned