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Red48
84217.4
431134.2
226225.6
Blue186
16655.0
172947.7
237058.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851935010015025048186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+138
Endgame+138
Fouls+138
AutonomousBlue +32
3Leave9
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points35
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +106
5Coral scored#26
18Coral points94
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
22Total teleop128
Reef
3L4#14
1L3#12
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +138
0Foul points0
48Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#16
34.22.7
37.534.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
blue by 24.5
2370
#11
58.71.1
57.458.6
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
2262
#29
25.62.7
28.225.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End2.9
blue by 29.4
166
#4
55.01.1
51.953.0
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
8421
#32
7.42.7
10.07.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 40.3
1729
#13
47.71.1
45.847.0
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned