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Red200
490973.1
854428.3
568776.8
Blue112
910138.9
431134.2
23739.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216137100150200250300200112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+76Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave6
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points7
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
29Coral scored#16
105Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
123Total teleop85
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#5
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
200Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.3
76.176.5
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 37.8
237
#14
39.00.2
39.639.4
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
Second
73.10.3
72.572.8
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 34.2
9101
#20
38.90.2
39.639.4
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
Third
8544
#18
28.30.3
27.628.0
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
blue by 6.0
4311
#16
34.20.2
34.934.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2