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Red137
172947.7
549422.7
107345.5
Blue144
16655.0
332321.0
83956.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122145100200137144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points49
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
18Processor points18
8Net points28
26Algae points46
76Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
137Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#13
47.70.5
47.247.7
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
blue by 8.8
839
#3
56.50.3
55.455.7
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Second
45.50.5
45.045.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
blue by 9.5
166
#4
55.00.3
53.854.1
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
5494
#30
22.70.5
22.222.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 1.6
3323
#25
21.00.3
19.920.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0