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Red197
490973.1
854428.3
568776.8
Blue136
105843.8
151220.2
9557.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19912650100150250197136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +52
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
119Total teleop67
Reef
13L4#6
10L3#5
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +61
18Foul points6
197Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.0
76.476.4
Auto20.0
Teleop49.2
End7.5
red by 19.4
95
#8
57.40.2
57.857.9
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
73.10.0
72.772.8
Auto19.7
Teleop45.7
End7.7
red by 29.3
43.80.2
44.244.4
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
Third
8544
#18
28.30.0
27.927.9
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End2.5
red by 8.0
1512
#22
20.20.2
20.620.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6