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Red100
910138.9
431134.2
23739.0
Blue137
172947.7
549422.7
107345.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141136100110120130150160170100137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
68Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points8
100Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#14
39.00.4
39.439.0
Auto6.6
Teleop29.9
End2.5
blue by 8.7
1729
#13
47.70.2
46.847.0
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End4.6
Second
9101
#20
38.90.4
39.438.9
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
blue by 6.6
45.50.2
44.644.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End8.1
Third
4311
#16
34.20.4
34.734.2
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End8.2
red by 11.5
5494
#30
22.70.2
21.822.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5