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Red162
16655.0
332321.0
83956.5
Blue141
693341.5
909622.3
237058.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14313580100120160180200220162141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points51
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
111Total teleop95
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points0
162Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#3
56.50.8
53.954.7
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
blue by 2.2
2370
#11
58.70.4
58.358.7
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
Second
166
#4
55.00.8
52.353.1
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 13.4
41.50.4
41.141.5
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.3
Third
3323
#25
21.00.8
18.419.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
blue by 1.3
9096
#21
22.30.4
21.922.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5