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Red132
15740.9
457224.4
34825.4
Blue138
105843.8
151220.2
9557.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013650150200132138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
88Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points6
132Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#12
40.91.0
39.640.5
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
blue by 16.5
95
#8
57.40.2
57.657.8
Auto17.8
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
348
#26
25.41.0
24.125.1
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
blue by 18.4
43.80.2
44.044.2
Auto9.0
Teleop27.0
End7.8
Third
4572
#15
24.41.0
23.124.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 4.2
1512
#22
20.20.2
20.420.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End4.6