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Red115
242344.5
252326.7
6931.8
Blue159
16655.0
332321.0
83956.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214950100200250115159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
14Coral scored#22
51Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
69Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#11
4L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points2
115Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#10
44.50.3
44.344.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End4.4
blue by 12.0
839
#3
56.50.7
54.755.4
Auto10.3
Teleop36.3
End10.0
Second
69
#6
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
blue by 23.2
166
#4
55.00.7
53.153.8
Auto8.1
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
2523
#19
26.70.3
26.426.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End1.8
red by 5.7
3323
#25
21.00.7
19.219.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0