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Red66
38768.2
824819.7
307037.3
Blue144
529511.0
2910105.1
189933.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51140010020066144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+62
Endgame+70
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points29
12Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
42Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#9
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
6Foul points14
66Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#21
37.30.3
31.331.7
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
blue by 67.8
105.10.9
73.474.3
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
Second
8248
#16
19.70.3
12.312.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
blue by 13.6
1899
#18
33.30.9
27.328.1
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Third
3876
#34
8.20.3
11.211.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 2.9
5295
#28
11.00.9
16.517.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned