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Red95
568320.4
241242.7
1049820.1
Blue100
1042320.0
418020.3
491548.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7185406010012014095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
77Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
95Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#19
42.71.5
40.542.0
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
blue by 5.4
48.01.5
34.135.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
Second
5683
#22
20.41.5
13.014.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 0.1
4180
#13
20.31.5
20.121.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Third
20.11.5
18.420.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
red by 0.1
20.01.5
23.424.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned