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Red106
204665.1
255733.2
378630.2
Blue146
445038.0
321924.2
36056.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12389050150200250106146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points4
36Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +39
16Coral scored#23
56Coral points83
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
68Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#9
4L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points10
106Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.10.3
67.667.4
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
red by 8.5
360
#3
56.63.2
47.150.3
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Second
2557
#15
33.20.3
21.221.0
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
blue by 4.8
38.03.2
23.326.5
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Third
3786
#25
30.20.3
21.020.7
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
red by 6.1
3219
#12
24.23.2
18.021.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned