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Red86
368144.9
189933.3
1049820.1
Blue129
417319.9
131862.5
445038.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841106010012014016018086129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
73Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
86Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#10
44.90.4
31.732.2
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
blue by 17.6
62.52.0
55.657.7
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Second
1899
#18
33.30.4
28.128.5
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
blue by 4.6
38.02.0
26.528.5
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Third
20.10.4
20.020.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
red by 0.2
4173
#26
19.92.0
16.118.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned